(Bloomberg) — Stocks and bonds fell after Federal Reserve officials signaled they’ll begin dialing back the stimulus that has fueled the recovery from the pandemic.
The S&P 500 index extended losses after policymakers signaled they expect two interest rate increases by the end of 2023. Yields on benchmark 10-year Treasury notes rose from an almost three-month low, while three- and five-year notes fell more. The dollar strengthened versus major peers.
“First blush is obviously a hawkish read,” said Michael Contopoulos, Richard Bernstein Advisors LLC’s director of fixed income and portfolio manager. “This supports the reflation, higher rates theme and likely adds more fuel to the taper talk fire for Jackson Hole or September FOMC at the latest.”
The central bank held the target range for its benchmark policy rate unchanged at zero to 0.25% — where it’s been since March 2020 — and pledged to continue asset purchases at a $120 billion monthly pace until “substantial further progress” had been made on employment and inflation.
The quarterly projections showed 13 of 18 officials favored at least one rate increase by the end of 2023, versus seven in March. Eleven officials saw at least two hikes by the end of that year. In addition, seven of them saw a move as early as 2022, up from four.
“The number of people who moved forward into 2023 is somewhat surprising,” said Brent Schutte, chief investment strategist at Northwestern Mutual Wealth Management Co. “You hear Jerome Powell mention a lot of time that this isn’t official policy, this is a best guess and a forecast, which is subject to change.”
Elsewhere, crude oil declined after earlier rising as much as 1.2% in New York as the rising dollar reduced the appeal of commodities priced in the currency.
For more market commentary, follow the MLIV blog.
Here are some key events to watch this week:
U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen testifies before a House panel Thursday on the federal budgetRate decisions come from Switzerland and Norway on ThursdayThe Bank of Japan’s monetary policy decision is on Friday
These are some of the main moves in markets:
The S&P 500 fell 0.8%, more than any closing loss since May 18 as of 2:23 p.m. New York timeThe Nasdaq 100 fell 0.9%, more than any closing loss since June 3The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.9%, more than any closing loss since May 12The MSCI World index fell 0.7%, more than any closing loss since May 12
The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index rose 0.5%, more than any closing gain since June 3The euro slipped 0.6%, more than any closing loss since June 3The British pound fell 0.4% to $1.4033The Japanese yen weakened 0.2%, falling for the fourth straight day, the longest losing streak since May 28
The yield on 10-year Treasuries advanced four basis points, more than any closing gain since May 12Germany’s 10-year yield declined two basis points to -0.25%Britain’s 10-year yield declined two basis points to 0.74%
West Texas Intermediate crude fell 0.2% to $72.01 a barrelGold futures fell 0.8%, falling for the fourth straight day, the longest losing streak since April 30
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